From left to right: not all children are excellent students
The “tendency to optimism” says that “every student is capable of academic prosperity”, while the inability to flourish reveals “an error or injustice”. resents Freddie de Boer in Substack. But “compelling empirical evidence shows that students sort themselves” on academic ability “at an early age with striking consistency.” Why? Because “there is such a thing as individual academic potential.” This bias “makes enthusiasm for specific interventions unverifiable” such as pre-K (which “doesn’t work” for closing “gaps in racial and socioeconomic achievement”) and school funding – “we dug money into the racial achievement gap for 40 years, but to no avail.” To be clear: “I believe that we can change large group differences in education (e.g., the gap in racial achievement) by eliminating underlying socioeconomic inequalities”, but “even after we eliminate racial or gender differences, between individual students there will be big differences. regardless of pedagogy or politics.”
Gadfly: Biden’s empty “red line” for China
The Biden team “warned China a month ago that sending ‘lethal support’ or weapons to Russia would mean going over a ‘red line'”, but in recent weeks “evidence has emerged that China is supplying Russia with rifles, drone parts and possibly ammo,” notes Jim Geraghty of the National Review. Oops: “If the Biden administration acknowledges crossing the red line, it will have to apply consequences, and those consequences could mean an escalation of a proxy war in which Russian fighter jets are already shooting down US reconnaissance drones.” So expect “no consequences”. Red lines are much easier to draw than to implement.”
Elex Watch: Minority Republican Party voters support Trump
Former President Donald Trump’s “average double-digit lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis” may be due “to his clear advantage among potential Republican voters of color in the primary.” notes Harry Anten of CNN. Among these voters the ratio is 2:1, but among the whites of the Republican Party it is the same. However, these voters are “becoming a big part of the party” – an increase of nearly 5% since 2016. Trump’s rise to them comes “even as his lead among white voters has declined” but also at a time when “the Republican Party is generally improving among voters of color.” If minority voters continue their transition to the Republican Party and Trump, “they could give them both a big boost.”
Libertarian: Bragg against the rule of law
Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s “questionable” case against former President Donald Trump “undermines the rule of law in the name of protecting it.” claims Jacob Sallum of Reason. Key: Was the $130,000 in money paid through Trump lawyer Michael Cohen to porn star Stormy Daniels a campaign donation? “Cohen accepted this characterization in 2018 when he pleaded guilty to violating “federal limits on campaign contributions.” But “five years after. . . The Justice Department has clearly refused to file charges against Trump.” And the FEC in 2021 “declined to press charges against Trump, his business, or his campaign.” In addition, “prosecutors who worked for Bragg’s predecessor, Cyrus R. Vance, Jr.” also retracted. “Why pursue a case based on disputed facts and untested legal theory that looks like a politically motivated attempt to ‘get’ Trump?”
Economists: Bankruptcy of Dodd-Frank
The Dodd-Frank Act was intended to make the banking system less risky after the financial crisis of 2008–2009, but “has the opposite effect.” argue Michael Falkender and Tyler Goodspeed in The Wall Street Journal. Why? The law’s stress testing “encouraged banks to diversify in the same way, which raised systemic risk even as individual banks became less risky.” Now “if something brings down one big bank, others are likely to fail, leading to the collapse of the big financial system.” Meanwhile, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank shows that “regulators cannot foresee all the risks” such as rapidly rising interest rates that will bring down banks’ bond holdings and “the inevitable government missteps will affect the entire financial system.” Solution: Abandon Dodd-Frank’s “microbanking” and simply demand an increase in capital levels.
— Prepared by the editorial board of The Post.